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Although unlikely, it is possible that rates of climate change and sea-level rise will exceed likely estimates. This low probability but high-consequence risk needs to be borne in mind by coastal managers seeking to adapt to climate change.
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Australia’s climate is changing and national mapping products can provide useful information on recent trends.
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Scenarios are plausible climate futures, taking into account increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, and usually constructed from computer-based models of the Earth-Ocean-Atmosphere system. They should not be treated as predictions.
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Scenarios of future climate change for use in impact and adaptation studies are available from a number of national and state-level providers.
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Scenarios of future climate change, from simple maps and graphs to complex datasets, are an important component of impacts analysis and adaptation planning.
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Scenarios of future climate change are useful tools for engaging with stakeholders about the topic of climate change adaptation. The choices that need to be made in building these scenarios will affect the final result and hence the adaptation decisions that may be made.
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Decision making for coastal adaptation is often bound up in uncertainties that make it hard to get organisational buy-in for action. There are approaches and tools that can help you get things done.
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Collaboration can achieve many beneficial outcomes for adaptation in areas such as stakeholder participation and buy-in, financing and information availability. Lack of collaboration may result in maladaptation as the scales of the response will not match the scales of the risk.
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Case study
The Eyre Peninsula Integrated Climate Change Agreement (EPICCA) has developed a regional adaptation plan building on past climate change planning work and incorporating an adaptation pathways analysis
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Identifying climate change risk at a local scale is an important step in planning for adaptation. CoastAdapt provides guidance and tools for conducting different types of risk assessment.
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